Thursday, December 21, 2017

Championship Week

Championship Week
It is championship week and it’s a matchup of two of the top 3 teams in Pussy Palace all season.  The Rookie’s prediction is “Maggs because he’s the best team in there outside of me. I should’ve been in there easy.”  Well he would have been if Mixon didn’t get concussed or Gronk wasn’t a douchebag.  The matchup looks like a slam dunk for Maggs with his elite players across the board.  If projections are correct, No Bobby No only outscores The Trojans at QB 1, WR 3, and Kicker.  The Antonio Brown injury gives No Bobby No a little hope, but The Trojans needed only 5 players to win their semifinal matchup.  For No Bobby No to win, they must have an other worldly performance from someone, potentially getting a bonus.  Unfortunately, No Bobby No does not appear to have bonus upside outside of Russell Wilson, and even that is very slim since he diversifies his yardage between passing and rushing, Also, if Wilson were to bonus, it would most likely include a huge game from Tyler Lockett.  No Bobby No’s best shot is an injury from a qb or other extremely important player.  
With all that said here are some predictions
Ginger: Thomas wins because FUCK MAGGS
Murphy: I feel it’ll be a close game but I’m behind you winning. AB being out is a big blow to Machete’s squad regardless of his receiving corps. He would have had a HUGE game against Houston.  Looking at the teams, I see a lot of plus side on No Bobby No’s matchups.  Machete takes a hit with Brees because let’s be honest they only run now.  Machete has to play Lockett who isn’t relevant at all. Your qbs can either have great games with the defenses they’re playing but I say Howard maybe Taylor help No Bobby No to the title.  
Joe 2: I’m taking you, I don’t think LB gets his projected 26 points, his QB won’t show up, Gurley scores about 15. Magz has his best chance ever to win, but it’s too good to be true. He gets harassed by the league and Magz trading co. goes into hibernation for another 2 years.
JD: I think the Trojans due to the matchups for their qb’s, 3 RB’s as well as their recent consistency. I do think it will be closer than a lot of people probably think.
Gambs: I’m going to say Maggs, just because his team is to balanced…even with Brown going down his team is almost not even effected by it.  If that injury happened to another team it would be devastating, but not for his team. 
Eric: Maggs, his team is so consistent and even without AB his team is still stacked
Kevin: I have to say Machete. Gurley and Bell are gonna light up Ten and Hou like 4th of July 
Chuck: Maggs but I think you could a better job with your lineup
Money in the BankGreat Matchup between two very close teams.  I think mean Machine wins because of Dak and Baldwin.  I think the game is a shootout and the Cowboys have struggled against the slot all season   Hopkins will have a great game but Mean Machine holds on in a close one winning by 5 or less. I should be rooting for the Gingers to win because Goff needs to throw some touchdowns for them to have a shot.  Hopefully those aren’t to Gurley
Alternate Realities

Last year No Bobby No got into the playoffs because The Trojans started the Rams DST which got -3.  The team road that momentum all the way to a finals appearance.  
I have two scenarios from Week 13 that happened that changed everything.   
If Joe Mixon doesn’t get concussed
All Fired Up makes the playoffs and loses to The Trojans
No Bobby No is the 4-seed losing to the Trojans in round 2 and the finals are now the Ginger Snaps vs the Trojans
The Monstars beat Vonteego Cross in the Murphy brackets after beating Ride or Dies.

If Gronk does not get suspended
If Gronk does not get suspended, I would expect him to score at least 3.1 points,
The Rookies moves on to play No Bobby No and wins a great matchup 192.4-180.4. 
The Rookie would be playing The Trojans this round instead.

Authors Note:  If we lose this week, I will be taking a poll to ask if we should change our team name to the Buffalo Bills because this would be our 3rd consecutive finals loss.

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

Playoff Preview Round 2

Semi-Final Preview
What a week it was last week, with a major upset in Mean Machine beating The Rookie despite a huge Chiefs reversal.  The Trojans, No Bobby No and the Ginger Snaps took care of business and we are left with an interesting final four. The Murphy bracket had its own drama with Vonteego Cross giving up all hope after Ben Roethlisberger took Ortiz into the Bar 80 bathroom, only to have Smokin Jay Cutler prove he can be a high end two, against the Patriots, at home. All Fired Up took care of business, after Pat texted me asking about what you get for winning the consolation bracket, thinking he had his win locked up thanks to hot starts by Josh Gordon and Doug Martin.  Pat was ultimately done in by the fantasy grim reaper himself Tom Brady.  
With all this in mind we move on to week 15, which has the most important game all season in the AFC.  If the Steelers win over the Patriots, they lock up a bye and the number 1 seed with some help.   Can this hurt The Trojans in a potential championship matchup?
Semifinal #1 – The Trojans vs Ginger Snaps
What a matchup between the two highest scoring teams last week.  These two terms have split two matchups this season and are coming off dominant victories.  The Trojans are led by Antonio Brown who has 149.7 points in his last 4 games combined.  The team has 3 top 10 wrs, 3 top 6 rb’s, and two top 12 qbs.  The area of weakness for this team is Kyle Rudolph (in a walking boot and might not play this week) along with an underwhelming Seattle defense.  The team does have replacements on the bench if they would like to swap out.  Drew Brees has been a huge disappointment this season with only 2 300 yard games and only 1 game with 3 td.  I expect this to continue this week, since the Saints will probably have no reason to throw against the Jets and Bryce Petty.  
The Ginger Snaps are hoping Deandre Hopkins continues to be peppered with targets despite playing against the fantastic Jags secondary.  Cooper Kupp has caught at least 5 passes in 5 consecutive games and has been very consistent recently.  He is the only rookie wr to have a shot at 1000 yards.  Jared Goff has been better then Brees and will need to be for the Ginger Snaps to win.  Someone needs to have a massive performance for the Ginger Snaps to advance.  Here is the Wild Card:  I would start Dede Westbrook over Matthews this week.  Marcus Mariotta is not healthy and Dede Westbrook should be able to get behind the pathetic Texans defense at will. He has a shot at having a massive game and is the type of hail mary that can help you pull a massive upset.
Prediction:  The Trojans win a close matchup that will have a combined total nearing 350 points. The biggest difference maker will be Todd Gurley who will destroy the Seahawks and Murphy’s dreams in the process, causing him to throw his hat across Chuck’s basement and storm upstairs to have a slice of pizza.
Semifinal #2- No Bobby No vs Mean Machine Child Beaters 
A closely contested matchup between two teams that have taken very different paths to get here.  Solid drafting and minimal moves got No Bobby No here, why Mean Machine had to revamp half of their roster to advance this far.  It’s no secret that I think the commish and Timbo have done a fantastic job of managing this season. With the hopeful return of Tyrod Taylor against a Miami team coming off a huge emotional win over New England, No Bobby No hopes solid qb play will at least match Prescott and Smith, who have two great matchups in Primetime.  Dak Prescott is going to score at least 20 points, but No Bobby No is in trouble if he can get a third touchdown.  Russell Wilson has been the top qb in the league this year averaging over 26 points per game.  Unfortunately, one of his two duds were against the LA Rams, who he plays this weekend.  The Running backs should favor No Bobby No with Jordan Howard and Devonta Freeman finally coming back to life last week, and having what appears to be positive matchups this week.  Hyde has been a rock all season and will probably have another solid game this week, but Lynch might struggle against the Cowboys with All World Linebacker Sean Lee.   WR’s do favor No Bobby No while tight end, defense and kicker clearly favor Mean Machine.  Zach Ertz is back and facing a pathetic Giants defense, but can Nick Foles be trusted? Mean Machine has the best defense in fantasy by far.  I personally think this is the matchup of the top two defenses this week with Mean Machine having a clear advantage. Seriously, I do not remember the last time I saw a defense projected for 15 points.  
Prediction: I reached out to DeMayo to make this pick.
“I will pick No Bobby No if Tyrod plays because I like your QB’s as much if not more than his.  I think you have a better spot at RB, and I like your WR more.  Going to be a great matchup and think it’ll be VERY tight but I give the edge to No Bobby No.”
Murphy Bracket
Choice of pick matchup- All Fired Up vs Vonteego Cross 
Joe Mixon is still in the concussion protocol as of this writing while Kamara claims he is good to go.  Carson Wentz tearing his ACL really hurts All Fired Up because now they are stuck starting Eli Manning.  Vonteego Cross spent money to get Nick Foles because with Rodgers back, they did not have two starting qb’s.  Mike Evans has been a gross disappointment this season, but Hogan is back and Drake has been a beast since he got the job.  Vonteego Cross has made some great moves for players like DaVante Adams, Marquise Goodwin, and the previously mentioned Foles. All Fired Up has the edge on defense and is hopeful for a big game from Jimmy Garappolo.  This matchup is so close, all it takes is one dud for a team to lose.  
Prediction:  Alvin Kamara leads Vonteego Cross to victory and Joe Mixon lets All Fired Up down one last time.  
The battle for the toilet seat- Team GFY vs Ride or Dies 
Another close matchup that will probably come down to Monday Night Football with 3 players in this matchup playing. Team GFY has the advantage at running back and wide receiver while Ride or dies appear to have the edge at qb, tight end and flex. Defense is a clear advantage for Pat and Marty along with kicker, but the Rams are playing the better qb. Really the deciding factor is will Rodgers have any rust in a must win comeback game.  I think he might and I think the Packers will lose. A fun fact is the last time either of these teams won was week 8.  
Prediction: Rodgers comes back rusty and Ride or Dies goes from First to Last.

Wednesday, December 6, 2017

Playoff Preview Week 1

Playoffs Week 1 
After a crazy Monday night, with All Fired Up suffering the ultimate heartbreak, we enter the playoffs with 8 teams hoping to gain the trophy.  We are guaranteed to crown a new champion after Ride or Dies tumbled from the clear-cut top team to number 10 hoping to avoid the toilet seat that our former commissioner graciously gifted to the league on draft day.  
Tonight, I will preview all 6 matchups, hopefully providing some additional context with how we got here along the way.  
The Trojans vs The Monstars- These two teams split the series 1 vs 1 as we enter the all-important rubber match.  The Trojans hope to get off to a hot start on Thursday night with Brees and Thomas traveling to Atlanta in a must win game for the Falcons.  Come to think of it, Maggs’ team will be all over the prime time games this week with players in all 4 prime matchups.  Eric can focus solely on the Panthers vs Vikings games having 4 players in that one matchup.  A player of note Eric should consider playing is Danny Amendola, who has tremendous numbers when Gronk is out of lineup.  
Prediction: The Trojans go into Sunday night football down, but end up taking the matchup and move on to the Semi Finals
The Rookie vs Mean Machine Child Beaters-  A beer bet is on the line as we have a rematch from week 10, which The Rookie won by 33 points.  Rob Gronkowski is suspended due to a dirty disgusting hit that even made The Hoodie ashamed.  The Rookie is lucky Gronk only got one game, and Gronk should be begging Belichick to give him off Christmas Eve to avoid escalating an otherwise ugly situation. Greg Olsen is practicing, but who knows how healthy he really is.  At the time of writing this, Mark Ingram has not practiced this week and is a true Game Time Decision.  I think he will play, but how effective he is anyone’s guess.  If he doesn’t play The Rookie can choose between Ginn and Gore.   Jameis Winston is a TERRIBLE real life qb, but gets it done in fantasy. That turnover last week was nothing short of comical.  Rivers is an excellent start this week and was a great trade by The Rookie. The Mean Machine might get my award for my managers of the year, salvaging bad injuries to make the Playoffs and be super competitive.  This team can have a big week, especially if Zach Ertz is out.   Agholor becomes a top 18 wr for me if that is the case, not bad for $10 faab. Their qbs have great matchups as do the tight ends and I expect this matchup to have the highest combined score of the week.  A player on the bench Mean Machine should consider is Martavis Bryant, who scored 2 tds the last time Pittsburgh played the Ravens without Jimmy Smith. 
Authors Note: I believe it is the second year in a row that The Rookie has someone on his roster who is retired.  Last year was Arian Foster, this year The Rookie still has Darren McFadden on his roster
Prediction: Ok I am going to cop out on this one, Mean Machine wins if Mark Ingram is inactive.  If Mark Ingram plays I think the Rookie squeaks out a close one. You mustaccount for Joe 2 magic come playoff time
No Bobby No vs Team DTA- This is clearly the worst playoff matchup.  No Bobby No has had a horrible last few weeks and DTA is the lowest scoring team in the league. No Bobby No did win in week 3 over DTA.  This 3 vs 6 matchup will most likely be the lowest scoring playoff matchup.  No Bobby no has 3 Bills qb’s current on their roster and will probably have to start Nathan Peterman (sorry I just ran to the bathroom and threw up).   I am hoping for 10 -12 points from the lowly Bills backup. No Bobby No got extremely lucky last week thanks to Mixon’s injury to steal the three seed away from the more deserving Ginger Snaps.  The rb’s, which were supposed to be the core of this team have grossly underperformed.   The lone bright spots have been Russell Wilson (number 1 qb), Larry Fitzgerald (number 5 WR), and Zach Ertz who is trying to recover from a concussion. The tough start sit decision for No Bobby No is Demaryius vs Marquise Lee. Team DTA’s needs to hope Fournette is healthy since the last time he ran for over 4.0 YPC in a game was week 6.  The wr’s are low floor high ceiling kind of guys, especially Crowder who will probably go off this week. Crowder and Burkhead have the most potential for monster weeks in my opinion. The qb’s are both number 2’s this season and will probably get around 20, with Mariota having potential for more.  Duke Johnson has been extremely steady this season and should be reliable again.  For them to win, Burkhead and Fournette need to score touchdowns. Go Dion Lewis
Prediction: I reached out to Joe 2 to make the prediction “No Bobby No wins by 20+, DTA’s WR aren’t great and GB D is gonna get Flashed.”
The Ginger Snaps vs The Romosexuals- A True nail biter, this matchup is going to be awesome to watch.  The Romosexuals won by 28 points week 3 giving the Ginger Snaps their second loss of the season.  They only had 2 more after that. The Romosexuals have 2 of his 3 most important players going tomorrow night so they have something to watch for. The Romosexuals have the second best wr grouping in the league with 3 top 14 wrs (Yes Robby Anderson is number 14). Matt Ryan is by far the lowest ranked qb in this matchup at 19, but The Romosexuals have the better qb matchups. Golden Tate should have a monster game if Stafford plays because the Bucs are just pathetic. The Ginger Snaps have the best rb and wr in this matchup and will need to make their points up at the tight end and flex positions.   A Shoot for the stars start like Dede Westbrook might be in order since the Seahawks have struggled with fast wr’s in the past.  
The nice part of this matchup is 90 percent of the players will be done before the Sunday night game so both teams should know where they stand.  
Prediction: The Romosexuals squeak out a Monday night win, after we get several Jamal Williams complaint messagesfrom Ginger in the Groupme Sunday afternoon.  Really, he should be saying complaining about the Garbage Browns.
Murphy Award
All Fired Up vs Ride or Dies- All Fired Up is still trying to win while the last time Pat and Marty won was week 7 and have been the lowest scoring team the last two weeks. That win was against All Fired Up so anything is possible.  Expect a big game from jimmy Garoppolo, whose teammates love him per post game quotes.  Dion Lewis and Greg Zuerlein should also have monster games.  One player All Fired Up should consider playing is Sterling Shephard with Eli Manning back.   The Cowboys struggled before last week against wr’s.  Ride or Dies needs to hope for massive games from Gordon and a potentially returning Cooper to advance and have a shot at the choice of pick.  If they advance, they can potentially win it with a returning Rodgers. I do not think Doug Martin plays this week either so either Cohen or Stills are potential options to replace him.
Prediction: All Fired Up wins this one in a close matchup. 
Team GFY vs Vonteego Cross- Two of the unluckiest teams square off in a close matchup. This is one of Vonteego Cross’ two wins this season. Alvin Kamara might be the number 1 running back this week.  One player Vonteego Cross should look to get into their lineup at all cost is Goodwin, playing against a garbage Texans defense.  He might have a Will Fuller type game.  Team GFY might have a huge week.  Carr and Big Ben have good matchups, as do Cooks and Marvin Jones.  I would consider starting Jermaine Kearse since he has been solid number 2 wr with huge upside recently.  I know they are playing the Broncos, but are the Broncos really the Broncos anymore.  
Prediction: Team GFY wins in a nail biter continuing Vonteego Cross’ string of bad luck

Thursday, November 30, 2017

The Davis Index Week 13

Week 13 Preview 
It’s the final week of the season.  Last year, the difference between making the playoffs (and making a run to the championship game) versus missing the playoffs was less than 1 point.   The league has taken on a very different feel this year, with The Trojans building what appears to be a super team through savvy drafting and patience.  Also, the league is split into three distinct tiers in part due to Vonteego Cross needing a win to avoid having the worst record in the four years I have been in the league.  With all this in mind, here are the playoff scenarios.  I am not doing power rankings this week, but you will notice that these act as pseudo power rankings.
The top 4
Number 1 Seed- The number 1 seed will most likely be The Trojans.  The only way that this will not happen is if the Ginger’s outscore The Trojans by more than 159.2 points or The Rookie wins, The Trojans lose and The Rookie outscores The Trojans by more than 140.5 points.  I think Maggs is your regular season champ, in addition to the Island champ
Seeds 2-4- Here is where things get interesting.  Currently, the order goes as follows, The Rookie, Ginger Snaps, and No Bobby No.  I will try to explain each scenario, because there is a way for these teams to be in any order. Note: Although No Bobby No is a game behind the other two teams, they do have the points tiebreaker currently.
The Rookie, Ginger Snaps, No Bobby No- Either all three teams win and The Gingers don’t outscore the Rookie by more than 18.7 points or Ginger Snaps and No Bobby No lose. Also, can happen if all three teams lose and the Gingers don’t outscore the Rookie by more than 18.7 points. This can also happen if The Rookie wins or loses and outscore No Bobby No by 12.8 points and Ginger Snaps loses but outscores No Bobby No by 31.5 points.
The Rookie, No Bobby No, Ginger Snaps- Ginger Snaps loses, No Bobby No wins and doesn’t get outscored by more than 31.5 points.  In this scenario, The Rookie can either win or lose and outscore No Bobby No by 12.8 points. 
Ginger Snaps, The Rookie, No Bobby No- This scenario happens with a win by the Ginger Snaps and outscoring the Rookie by more than 18.7 points if he wins with The Rookie winning or losing outscoring No Bobby No by more than 12.8 points if the win.  This can also happen with a No Bobby No loss or both The Rookie and No Bobby No losing
Ginger Snaps, No Bobby No, The Rookie- This happens with a Ginger Snaps win or loss and outscoring No Bobby No by 31.5 points, No Bobby No winning but not being outscored by The Rookie by more than 12.8 points and The Rookie losing his matchup
No Bobby No, The Rookie, Ginger Snaps-  The Rookie and the ginger snaps need to lose, and No Bobby No needs to win, not be outscored by the respective teams by 31.5 and 12.8 points, and The Rookie is not outscored by more than 18.7 points by the Ginger Snaps
No Bobby No, Ginger Snaps, The RookieThe Rookie and the ginger snaps need to lose, and No Bobby No needs to win, not be outscored by the respective teams by 31.5 and 12.8 points, and The Rookie is outscored by more than 18.7 points by the Ginger Snaps
Current score predictions have the order going The Rookie, No Bobby No, then the Ginger Snaps since they facing the Juggernaut this week
Seeds 5-8
5th SeedThe Romosexuals get this with a win and not being outscored by a winning DTA by more than 262 points.  DTA gets it with a win and Romosexuals loss.  The Romosexuals have such a large point lead it’s highly unlikely one of the 5-7 teams would pass him for their seed (about 89 points).
6th Seed- If Both the Romosexuals and DTA win, then DTA gets the 6th seed. If DTA wins and the romosexuals lose, then they flip spots.  If DTA loses this is where the craziness begins.  DTA has the least amount of points scored in the league (Yes Vonteego Cross has outscored them).  
Any team that wants to pass DTA needs to win first
The Monstars-Win and not be outscored by MMCB if they win by more than 7 points
MMCB- Win and have The Monstars lose or outscore them by 7 points 
All Fired Up- Win and have the other teams lose while not being outscored by DTA by 28 points or more
If all three teams lose then DTA gets the 6th seed
7th & 8th SeedIf DTA wins
• The Monstars-Win and not be outscored by MMCB if they win by more than 7 points
• MMCB- Win and have The Monstars lose or outscore them by 7 points
• All Fired Up- Win and have the other teams lose while not being outscored by DTA by 28 points or more
A loss by all three teams opens the door to Ride or Dies, if they win and all three teams losing, they just need to outscore the Monstars by 141 points and Mean Machine by 134 points.  Most likely it will revert up to the previous scoring tiebreakers
If DTA loses
• DTA gets a playoff spot if any two of these teams lose or if they outscore All Fired Up by 28 points.
• The Monstars get a playoff spot with a win or not being outscored by MMCB by more than 7 along with losses to All Fired Up or MMCB.  
• MMCB gets in with a win or loss and All Fired Up loss.  
• All Fired Up gets in with a win and loss by one of three teams above them and not be outscored by DTA by more than 28 points.  
• IF DTA loses and all three teams above win, then DTA will miss the playoffs (as long as they don’t beat All Fired Up by 28 points).
Window is open just slightly 
Ride or Dies-  Aaron Rodgers getting hurt ruined any chance this team had.  Also, hoping for a Doug Martin resurgence has not come along with having to trade away a loaded wr corps to get two qbs.  Mismanagement is the reason that Ride or Dies are on the outside looking in.  If they can survive week 1 of the Murphy playoffs, they can be a wild card to win it since Rodgers can come back week 15.  

Failed to make the Playoffs
Team GFY- Despite a trade deadline deal of Lev Bell to try and fill holes on the roster, the 5 game skid this team is on has been too much to overcome. The team has one win since week 2 and could not get over early season wr and qb issues.
Vonteego CrossThis team has been the worst team all season.  They traded away all their parts and have great keepers in Watson and Kamara.  They are on track to be the worst team in PP history and have not beat a team outside the bottom three.  
Based on Current Projections on the ESPN app here are your week 1 matchups 
The Trojans vs the Monstars
The Rookie vs DTA
No Bobby No vs MMCB
Ginger Snaps vs The Romosexuals

Murphy Bracket is 
All Fired Up vs GFY
Vonteego Cross vs Ride or Dies 

Wednesday, November 15, 2017

The Davis Index Week 11


1. The Trojans have been above the league average 90% of the time this year.
2. Ginger Snaps tied No Bobby No for second with 70% of the time being above the league average.
3. DTA is last in the Davis Index only having one week above the league average (and that was a 200-point game). 
4. Team GFY has faced the hardest schedule facing an above average score 70% of the time.
5. No Bobby No and The Romosexuals have the second hardest schedule facing an above average score 60% of the time. 
6. Ride or Dies and the Ginger Snaps have the easiest schedule, only facing an above average score 30% of the time. 
7. No Bobby No and The Trojans have officially locked upplayoff spots.
8. The Ginger Snaps and The Rookie can lock up playoff spots with a win or loss by Ride or Dies, The Monstars or Team DTA.
9. Vonteego Cross needs to win out and get help to make the playoffs. It is possible to make the playoffs with 5 wins.
10. DTA, All Fired Up and Ride or Die are all averaging 125 points or less per game this season.
Lucky or Unlucky
You might remember, the Davis Index spawned out of me wanting to know, who was performing well against the rest of the league, and who was just getting lucky based on schedule.   Utilizing the new “All Play” tool I have, I have finally been able to compare winning percentage against the entire league, to the actual standings.
Lucky- These teams win percentage are one game above what the all play win percentage is.
• No Bobby No
• The Trojans 
• Ginger Snaps 
• The Rookie
• Team DTA
Neutral-These teams win percentage are exactly where they are supposed to be
• Mean Machine Child Beaters
• Ride or Dies
• All Fired Up
Unlucky-These teams win percentage are one game below what the all play win percentage is
• The Romosexuals 
• The Monstars
• Vonteego Cross
Extremely Unlucky-This team is 2 games below the all play win percentage
• Team GFY-makes sense when you have the most difficult schedule in the league so far.
Random player/team facts
1. Cam Newton got 39.7 points last week and is now the number 5 quarterback.
2. The 2-5 qb’s last week were Jared Goff, Kirk Cousins, Case Keenum, and CJ Beathard.  That makes a lot of sense
3. Deshaun Watson is still the number 7 qb ahead of Stafford, Cousins, and Brees amongst many others.
4. Josh McCown and Jacoby Brisett are the 12th and 13th qb’s this season, ahead of Rivers, Ryan and Roethlisberger.
5. The Saints ran the ball on 24 consecutive plays on Sunday.  The last time that happened, Drew Brees was 10 years old.
6. The Saints have the number 6 and number 7 rb’s this season (Ingram and Kamara).
7. The Jaguars have won 3 games in a row, with Leonard Fournette totaling 33 yards rushing in those games
8. Austin Ekeler and Dion Lewis were top 10 rb’s this year
9. The difference between Todd Gurley and Kareem Hunt is the more than the difference between Kareem Hunt and number 8 Carlos Hyde.
10. The Browns Saints and Falcons are the only 3 teams to have 2 top 24 rb’s
11. Isiah Crowell has scored double digit points the last three weeks in a row and is now number 2 rb, despite averaging less than 2 catches per game. 
12. Adam Thielen is the number 3 WR this season, just ahead of Larry Fitzgerald and AJ Green
13. The difference between number 3 and number 22 wr is less than 30 points. 3 and 22 at rb’s difference is 81 points.
14. Including the massive game, he had week 3, Sammy Watkins has 21 catches this season. His former and current teammate, Robert Woods has more catches then that in his last 4 games.
15. Robert Woods has 60 points combined the last two weeks,
16. The giants have a touchdown to tight end in 9 straight games.
17. Evan Engram has scored a touchdown in 4 consecutive games
18. Only 10 tight ends are averaging 10 points per game this season.
19. If you take out the Denver game, the Giants DST has scored 0 points this season.
20. The Jags DST more points than Duke Johnson and Alshon Jeffrey. 
One Kicker stat just because: Greg Zuerlein has outscored the second kicker by 35 points this season.  That is a larger game than the number 2 kicker and the number 19 kicker.  
The Davis Index will be delayed if it comes out at all next week.  I will be traveling.  If it comes out, it will be either be on Friday or Saturday. Good Luck down the stretch

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

The Davis Index Week 10


1. Mean Machine had the highest score all season, and was only the second 200-point week of the season 
2. Despite Mean Machine’s tremendous week, the average score went down over 2 points from last week.
3. The Trojans have scored above the league average 8 out 9 weeks this season (No Bobby No is closest with 7 out of 9 weeks).
4. Team GFY has tied The Romosexuals for the hardest schedule this season. 
5. The Rookie lost for the first time this year starting 2 qbs
6. Ride or Dies was the low score of the week for the third time this season.
7. 6 teams are separated by one game.
8. No Bobby No and The Trojans can clinch playoff spotswith wins
9. Vonteego Cross has the least amount of points scored and most points against.
10. The final three teams on the island are the Ginger Snaps, No Bobby No, and The Trojans
Random Player Facts
1. Russell Wilson is now the number one player on a ppg basis.  Carson Wentz is number 1 overall.
2. The difference between Russell Wilson and # 7 qb Matthew Stafford (5.8 points per game) is the more than the difference between Stafford and Jameis Winston (#21 QB).
3. Despite not playing since week 6, Aaron Rodgers is still ahead of Jameis Winston, Andy Dalton, and Ben Roethlisberger in total points this season.
4. Kareem Hunt had 6 touchdowns in his first three weeks of the season.  He has not gotten into the end zone since.
5. The Trojans have 3 top 5 running backs this season.  T
6. 4 rookie running backs are in the top 12 this season (Hunt, Fournette, Kamara, McCaffrey)
7. If you look at the top 6 rookies in terms of catches, they have one common theme. None of them are WR’s.
8. The difference between Doug Baldwin (#4 WR) and Keenan Allen (#24 wr) is 22.1 points on the season (a little over 2 points per game).
9. Tyreek Hill only scores double digit points on the road (Seriously look it up).
10. Jarvis Landry is the number 6 wr without having more than 93 yards in a game.
11. Travis Kelce is now the number 1 tight end averaging over 16 points per game, only two Wr’s average more than him.
12. Jared Cook is the number 7 tight end despite have 5 games under 10 points. 
13. The Saints DST had as many points on Sunday as the Raiders have had all season.
14. The Giants DST has -10 points last week.  Seriously -10.
15. Greg Zuerlein averages more points per game then Jordan Howard and is 0.1 less then Devonta Freeman

Wednesday, November 1, 2017

The Davis Index Week 8

Power Rankings
1. The Trojans– This team is loaded after his trade with Vonteego Cross and All Fired Up. Ben Roethlisberger has a very favorable schedule rest of season, to go along with Cam and Drew Brees. Choosing the right qb’s to play might be frustrating.  This team has three top rb’s and three solid wr’s. The one potential hiccup is if either of their two older qb’s get injured, it also might crush the wr value. The talent and keeper options on this is team are abundant and must be considered the favorite.
2. No Bobby No – After a solid trade to with Ride or Dies to move Larry Fitzgerald down the depth chart, No Bobby No appears to be a contender.  Trading away Semien last week was smart. The team has had solid play all around, led by Zach Ertz and Russell Wilson.  Although, No Bobby No has been solid all season, the team lacks the elite talent at the very top of the roster that The Trojans has.  This team has room for growth though, if Freeman, Howard and Ajayi can play like that they did last year. Ajayi has a great schedule down the stretch, but who knows if he is even the starter.  
3. The Rookie- The Rookie can make an argument that he deserves to be number 1.  The team is led by elite WR and RB Talent, along with the best tight end in football and an amazing waiver wire add in Aaron Jones.  Quarterback play has been very underwhelming with no number 1 qb.  The talent throughout the roster makes up for it, but a well-timed trade in the next 6 days, might push this roster over the top.  The rookie might have the ammo to make the tradewith Zeke Elliot suspended this week (and potentially longer) or a Greg Olsen return to health. 
4. Ginger Snaps-This spot was tough because they have been crushed by circumstance, until today. Rodgers and Luck getting/staying injured crushed their top 2 wr’s. Getting Will Fuller and Nuke Hopkins might be their saving grace along with getting Golden Tate back so quickly. They should be praying every night for the continued good health of Deshaun Watson, since they might be more dependent on him then The Monstars.  The team has solid qb play along with two top 12 rb’s now.    
5. The Romosexuals-  This might be controversial, but I love the lineup.  2 solid, if not underperforming qb’s along with 3 first round caliber players makes this team a serious contender in the playoffs.  The reason they aren’t higher is the suspension of Elliot along with the injury risk of Jones and Reed.  If Zeke’s suspension carries through, these team is DANGEROUS come playoff time, since he would be back for the semifinals. Robby Anderson has been a capable fill in for Sanders and can be a flex going forward. JD might need to trade for another rb to fill in for Zeke the next 6 weeks, especially if he can’t beat the Rookie this week. The Rookie seems like a solid potential trade partner with rb depth and a potential need of a qb upgrade.
6. MMCB-  Joe and Tim have done a good job of managing a team that we all thought was dead.  Making an aggressive trade for Doug Baldwin has helped this team stay afloat.  Trading for him along with grabbing Smith-Schuster and Agholor have made this team competitive. Grabbing Hilton today was a bold but high upside play. Alex Smith and Dak Prescott have been incredible this season.   They look like a playoff team, that would mostly likely be up near the top if Beckham didn’t get hurt. 
7. Ride or Dies- Pat and Marty have one top of the line player and that’s Tom Brady but lack depth. Not being active early in the season trying to acquire a third qb, made it hard for them when Rodgers when done. They were forced to make several trades including dismantling a strong wr core toprovide the qb depth they were desperate for. Frivously spending FAAB dollars forced them to trade away Benjamin to get a second qb since they were consistently blocked by other teams.  Placing their hopes on Orleans Darkwa also seems questionable.  They made the best of an awful situation and have a competitive roster. This team needs to rattle off wins as they play 3 out of the top 5 teams in these rankings the last 3 weeks of the season. Rodgers is not eligible to come back until week 15.
8. Team GFY- Gambs and Sarno have a good rb group along with Brandin Cooks.  Derek Carr has been a disappointment to me this season.  With another breakout game for Alex Collins, he can be some serious trade bait for rb needy teams.  Gambs and Sarno have grabbed some great pickups in Collins, Richardson, and Kearse to give them a shot at saving their season,
9. The Monstars- This team has stayed in playoff contention thanks to Deshaun Watson and ASJ.  David Johnson doesn’t know if he will be able to return this season, but did say today that the Cardinals record does not affect his timeline.  If he does this team can be a cinderella in the playoffs upsetting one of the top seeds.  The team has a bunch of young qbs and figuring out who to start alongside Watson will be a question going forward.  This team was most affected by the Benjamin trade having the two pieces in Carolina that are most likely to benefit.  
10. Team DTA- Kevin and DJ were hurt by the Rodgers injury, but I never saw consistent talent across the roster.  Fournette is a STUD, but Mariotta and Dalton have not been as reliable as they have been in past seasons.  The WR group is rough and the team might need to be aggressive with a week to go to have a shot at getting to the playoffs. It’s time to be bold gentlemen.
11. All Fired Up- had this team written up the other day and I deleted the whole thing because none of it matters. Chuck sold off most of his team and got a lot back.  He has strong keeper options at the qb position and will still be mildly competitive down the stretch.  Chuck went super young in the draft, and continues to have the youngest roster in the league.  It will be interesting to see if he sets a blue print for future struggling teams (Note: I am not breaking all his trades down, because it was too many and I don’t want to.)
12. Vonteego Cross-This team started as a dumpster fire and just continues to be.  They sold off most of their talent for keepers like Diggs and Kamara.  The downfall of this team was trading Hopkins on draft day and relying too much on Sammie Watkins.  The Bills are smarter than VC.  They were able to salvage the Will Fuller debacle by flipping him, but still.  It’s another disappointment for a team that was once a consistent threat.  

All Play 
As we all know, the fantasy football scheduling can be a cruel mistress.  Take Ginger’s team last year.  He routinely played a high scorer week in and week out.  I have looked into this and decided to share with you some information I found. The record indicated below is how you would fare if your team played EVERY Team in the league EVERY WEEK.  So, if you were the high score week 1, you were 11-0, #2 10-1, and if you were Mike and his historically low performance 0-11.


The top four teams in the standings and the Davis Index are the same as this chart as well.  It shows a nearly perfect distribution of teams and there are very few outliers.  The most shocking team to me is The Rookie, because I thought he was the best team all season until recently.  

Davis Index
1. The Trojans have taken the lead in the consistency ratings, scoring above the league average 7 out 8 weeks this season.
2. After starting the season with 6 consecutive weeks of scores above the league average, The Rookie failed to do so for the second week in a row. 
3. The Ginger Snaps and No Bobby No tied the Rookie with their 6th above league average performance of the year as well.
4. The Rookie is undefeated when he has two starting qb’s in his lineup.
5. The Romosexuals have had the hardest schedule facing an above league average team 75% of the time followed by No Bobby No and Team GFY
6. The league average is above 140 points for the first time since week 4.
7. 7 teams are within one game of each other.  
8. The Rooke was kicked off the Island this week
9. The four teams left on the island are No Bobby No, Team GFY, The Trojans, and the Gingersnaps.  That’s a lot of chubbiness on the island…and Murphy.
10. No Bobby No clinches a playoff spot with a win and a loss by any 2 of the other 3 win teams besides GFY.

Random Player Stats
1. Despite not playing a game since before Christmas 2014, Josh Gordon has more yards the Mohammed Sanu in his career (both drafted in 2012). (Credit JD Rappaport)
2. Nuke Hopkins had 46.4 points on Sunday, but was not the highest scorer on his own team let along in his game.
3. Deshaun Watson had his second 40-point game of the season and is the number 1 qb in PP, he is averaging 28.3 ppg.
4. Russell Wilson had 49.1 points on Sunday and it’s his 4th game out of his last 5 in which he scored at least 29 points. He is now the number 5 qb.
5. After the London game, Isaiah Crowell is a borderline starting rb (#26).
6. Todd Gurley is now number 1 amongst rb’s in ppg followed by Zeke, Hunt, and Bell.  They are the only four rb’s averaging 20 points per game
7. Sunday was the first game Kareem Hunt has not had 100 total yards in his career
8. Jay Ajayi will have two bye weeks this season while Kelvin Benjamin will not have one.
9. Will Fuller has 7 touchdowns on 13 catches the past four games, averaging over 20 points per game so far. 
10. Despite playing 4 less games then Hilton, Will Fuller is less than 2 points behind him this season.  
11. Based off pretty much one game, Amari Cooper is a top 12 wr.
12. Zach Ertz is the only pass catcher to have double digit points every game this year.
13. In case you missed it, Jack Doyle had 30.1 points last week and is now a top 5 tight end 
14. 4 dst’s (Ravens, eagles, Cowboys, and Chiefs) scored more points last week then the Raiders have scored on the season
15. Harrison Butker is the number 6 kicker despite missing the first 3 games of the season. He has 4 double digit games out of 5 and 2 21 point games so far this season.